Russia invading Ukraine was clearly wrong.
What I am unsure about is Russia's intentions afterwards. In the end I suspect some of Ukraine will, in effect, be ceded to Russia or become "independent".
Several questions are begged:
- Why did the West do very little when Russia annexed Crimea about 10 years ago?
- Why did the West not intervene when Ukraine territories in the East were being fought over years ago?
One outcome I can see is:
- Crimea and disputed Ukraine eastern territories are made neutral states with UN protection.
- The people of eastern Ukraine territories and Crimea are offered free elections under the control of a neutral country or the UN acceptable to Russia and Ukraine.
- Russia is told in no uncertain terms that any attack on any NATO country would be dealt with by a massive response by all NATO states.
- Ukraine becomes a neutral country and vows never to join NATO.
- NATO declares never to attack or invade Russia.
We know the Russian people are "fed a line" by Putin and state media. What we do
not know is how "whiter than white" the West is. I suspect we are
not being told the full story.
Invading a neighbour can never be right though.
