Bert PA1B has done some interesting "reverse analysis" of the WSPR reports I've given people. Working back from these you can estimate the lowest levels (in mW) that they could have used and still been copyable with me. This also gives a good guide to the likelihood of these stations receiving my weak signal. It is clear that M0BMU should be able to copy my 50uW ERP signal frequently (which he does) but that I'd need a lot more ERP to be able to get reports from the PA stations or SM6BHZ. See attached table from Bert.