Sunspot number and 10m propagation - April 1st 2015

Sunspot number remains at 53 today and 10m propagation is again expected to be "fair".  Is this the same as I haven't a clue"? So far this morning just G4IKZ (18km) but it is very early still.  Based on yesterday when conditions were slightly more disturbed (K==1 today, but yesterday K=2) and there was a marginal 10m opening to the USA, I would expect 10m to open to the USA later this afternoon.