It is now 1240z and there are no spots of my 500mW 10m beacon from the USA yet. I see that the band is open between the USA and Germany so maybe I am being impatient. However, with much lower sunspot numbers it is possible I'll not be heard in the USA on 10m today at all with my low power beacon.
UPDATE 1330z: I spoke too soon! WA2PJI (5550km) spotted me first at 1242z and there have been others since.
UPDATE 1752z: At the moment KC1AWS (5308km) is the last USA station to have spotted my 500mW WSPR beacon on 10m at 1750z. This could change.
UPDATE 1835z: KC1AWS does appear to be the last USA station to spot me at 1750z. Since then, just local G4IKZ (18km).