OK, I know forecasting the weather in the UK can be hard as several weather systems interact, but I find the UK's BBC weather forecasts poor unless we have a big high pressure overhead and very settled conditions. At least they show a percentage likelihood of rain nowadays. Considering the vast amounts spent on super-computers to better forecast, I can see little advance in forecasting accuracy.
Many is the time I have looked out the window at rain when at the very same time the BBC says it is full sun. As a guide to weather coming, these BBC forecasts are poor in my experience and there are better guides to upcoming weather available.
If you use BBC weather as a guide to what is going to happen, you are on our own. Personally, I find looking out of the window a better guide.
Cynic me? Surely not!
See https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/
See https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather
Why are you providing a link to the UK Met Office when the BBC get their data from a commercial company called MeteoGroup. They don't have supercomputers. They source data and forecast products from organisations who do, chiefly ECMWF - EUROPEAN Centre for Medium range Weather Forecasting, based in Reading. Read about BBC weather forecasting here:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.radiotimes.com/news/tv/2018-09-10/how-are-bbc-weather-forecasts-made/
My point is simple:forecasting UK weather seems as hard as ever despite the use of super computers.
ReplyDeleteIndeed and one of the reasons for so much expertise in the science in the UK.
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